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SOLUSD long — 5 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 120.78 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 119.572 with a price move of -1.00%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| Entry | 120.78 |
| Stop-loss | 118.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 122.472 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 123.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 119.572 |
| Realized P&L | -1.00% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 0/4 (5m bear, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 26.1 but slope -4.7 (fading), ER10 0.23 / ER30 0.003 / choppiness 59.1 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 70 Greed — chop with HTF bull structure but fading near-term momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild LONG lean — HTF 1h/4h bull_aligned, top-trader pos ratio 2.39 and account ratio 1.80 (heavily long-tilted smart money), OI +3.4%/24h building, price sitting near 5d/20d lows (+3.1% off low) with room up to extrema. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: top-trader positioning (pos 2.39, account 1.80) plus intact 1h/4h bull EMA stacks and rising OI favor a reclaim/bounce from the lower end of the range; this asset's 30d WR is strong (67.2%, +0.389% avg) and long calls dominate the winning attribution. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 0.846 (sellers in control last hour) and ADX fading / 5m bear — if 1h closes break below the 5d low cluster the mean-reversion thesis dies. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 120.78; stop below the 5d-low structure at 118.35 (~2.0% ≈ 0.7x daily range), target the 5d-high area at 123.60 (~2.3%, R:R ~1.16, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: chop with latent bull bias — moderate TP odds, meaningful expire given low ER/vol.
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