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SOLUSD long — 6 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 121.35 and stopped out at 119.05 after 11.1 hours, closing at -1.90%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-06 14:50 |
| Entry | 121.35 |
| Stop-loss | 119.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 123.03 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 124.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 119.05 |
| Realized P&L | -1.90% |
| Time open | 11.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bull_aligned, 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 16.2 slope -1.5 (sub-trend, fading), ER10 0.33 / ER30 0.03 / choppiness 51.7 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 73 Greed — chop with latent HTF bull structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild LONG lean — net +0.91%/4h, +1.54%/24h positive momentum, top-trader pos ratio 2.26 heavily long, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +0.57, recent-half +1.04%), funding negative (z -1.33) so no crowded-long squeeze risk. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/positioning — top traders 2.26 pos ratio + accelerating OI into rising price + taker 1.03 slightly buy-side, with negative funding meaning longs aren't crowded (fuel, not froth); trend-aligned with 4h bull stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits z +1.04 and just -1.77% below 5d high — rejection at the extreme flips this into mean-revert down given Hurst 0.35. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 121.35, stop below the recent swing/structure at 119.05 (~1.9%, inside rv_24h 28% daily range), stretch TP 124.15 (~2.3%, ~1.22x stop distance) targeting a push toward the 5d high at 123.5+. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with modest bull tilt, SOL track record strong (66.7% wr) but same-regime recent longs mixed — p_tp1 44 / p_sl 36 / p_expire 20.
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