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SOLUSD long — 7 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 117.98 and hit its target at 119.06 after 4.6 hours, closing at +0.92%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-07 02:05 |
| Entry | 117.98 |
| Stop-loss | 116.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 119.06 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 119.78 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 119.06 |
| Realized P&L | +0.92% |
| Time open | 4.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 14.3 slope +2.7 (sub-trend but firming), ER10 0.59 moderate / ER30 0.23 / choppiness 36.1 (edging into trend), Hurst 0.29 (strongly mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0, F&G 71 Greed — chop with HTF bull structure but a sharp near-term bear impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: short-term bearish momentum dominates — net -2.41%/4h, -3.13%/12h, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -3.9, agg OI -1.0%/24h), last-bar taker 0.61 heavy selling, 5m/15m RSI ~17-18 extreme oversold; but all four TFs 5m-RSI 18 + 1h RSI 28.9 + z-score -1.36 + price pinned at 5d low (+0.145%) signal a stretched downside — mean-reverting Hurst and extreme oversold argue a bounce is as likely as continuation. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: this is a counter-trend reclaim setup — the strongest cluster is extreme oversold at a tested 5d low (price +0.145% off 5d_low, z -1.36, triple-TF oversold RSI) in a mean-reverting regime (Hurst 0.29) with HTF 4h still bull_aligned and top-trader pos ratio 2.11 heavily long; against this is fresh bear momentum with no reclaim yet, so I take the long but at modest confidence. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a clean break below the 5d low (~117.8) with OI continuing to accelerate down invalidates — bear momentum simply runs through the oversold. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 116.42 (below the 5d low cluster, ~1.3% — within the ~1.2% 24h traversal / 46.7 rv band), take_profit_1 119.78 (reclaim of the 1h mean / prior support-turned-resistance, ~1.53% / ~1.17x stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce real but counter fresh momentum — p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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