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SOLUSD long — 11 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 111.8237 and stopped out at 110.05 after 5.2 hours, closing at -1.59%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Entry | 111.8237 |
| Stop-loss | 110.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 113.1595 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 114.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 110.05 |
| Realized P&L | -1.59% |
| Time open | 5.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 0/4 alignment (5m bull, 15m/4h mixed, 1h bear), 1h ADX 18 slope +5.2 (firming off sub-trend), ER10 0.51 / ER30 0.23, choppiness 40.7 (edging toward trend near-term), Hurst 0.44 mean-reverting, HMM calm, F&G 61 Greed — chop with a fresh upside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG lean — net +2.08%/4h, +2.02%/12h, +1.59%/24h all freshly positive, taker 1.49 buyers dominating the latest hour. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI z 5m +3.0 / 15m +3.9 accelerating_up with price rising (new longs committing into the move), top-trader pos ratio 1.95 and account ratio 2.72 both heavily long, taker 1.49 — momentum impulse backed by positioning. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 82.8 / 15m RSI 83 deeply overbought and price sits -7.6% below 5d high while rolling z -0.88 — a fast impulse into stiff overhead can mean-revert hard if buyers exhaust. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 111.82; stop below the near-term swing/invalidation at 110.05 (~1.58% ≈ 1x the ~1.7% avg 24h traversal / rv context); stretch TP at 114.05 (~1.99%, R:R ~1.25, inside clamps) targeting the next structural shelf toward the 5d-high retrace. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum + crowded longs favor continuation but overbought near-term and chop base rate cap it.
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