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SOLUSD long — 11 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 110.39 and hit its target at 112.016 after 3.8 hours, closing at +1.47%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-11 21:20 |
| Entry | 110.39 |
| Stop-loss | 108.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 112.016 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 113.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 112.016 |
| Realized P&L | +1.47% |
| Time open | 3.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 0/4 alignment (5m/1h/4h mixed, 15m bull), 1h ADX 23.7 slope +0.84 (barely trend, flat), ER10 0.15 / ER30 0.011 (nets nowhere), choppiness 42.3 (mid-range), Hurst 0.46 mean-reverting, HMM calm 0.9999, net 24h +0.06% — this is CHOP, not a trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild LONG lean — price sits z=-1.14 below 20d mean and +3.77% off the 20d/90d low (oversold stretch), 5m RSI 28.5 oversold, top-trader pos ratio 1.97 long-tilted, oi_momentum accelerating_up — a mean-reversion bounce setup off a washed-out zone. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is positioning/oversold — rolling z -1.14, 5m RSI oversold, top traders net long 1.97, and OI building (accelerating_up, oi_change_recent_half +0.51%) while funding stays modest (z +0.57) — a reclaim bounce from the lower band. 4. PRE-MORTEM: fresh net_move_pct_4h -1.57% shows active downside momentum; if sellers press through the 5d low (-3.77% below), the mean-revert thesis is dead. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 110.39, stop 108.05 below the recent swing/5d-low shelf (~2.1%, within the 50% rv_24h / 4h ATR context), stretch TP 113.10 at the mid-range reclaim (~2.46%, R:R ~1.15, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: chop with mean-revert tailwind but live downside momentum — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.
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