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SOLUSD long — 12 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 112.97 and stopped out at 111.15 after 6.6 hours, closing at -1.61%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-12 04:50 |
| Entry | 112.97 |
| Stop-loss | 111.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 114.218 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 115.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 111.15 |
| Realized P&L | -1.61% |
| Time open | 6.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 20.6 slope +0.39 (barely-trend, flat-to-firming), ER10 0.39 / ER30 0.22, choppiness 52.3 (mid-range), Hurst 0.47 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — chop-to-transitional with a near-term upside tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild LONG lean — net +1.18%/4h, +0.55%/12h, +3.07%/24h all positive, top-trader pos ratio 2.06 (longs dominant), F&G 69 Greed; crypto beta positive (SPX +0.6%, VIX down). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh 4h momentum (net +1.18%/4h) with top-trader positioning heavily long (2.06) and funding only mildly positive (z 1.17) — momentum carrying price up without crowded-long exhaustion; 5m/15m EMA stacks bull-aligned confirm the near-term impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 72-75 overbought and OI momentum accelerating_down (-1.14% recent half) — a near-term pullback that breaks the fresh impulse would invalidate; taker ratio 0.92 (slight sell lean) is a soft contra. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 112.97, stop below the recent swing/impulse base at 111.15 (~1.6% ≈ 0.9x of ~1.7% 24h traversal), stretch TP at 115.05 (~1.85% ≈ 1.15x stop distance), reachable within 24h given avg 24h move 1.72% and recent 3% range; 5d_high is -4.96% away so no immediate ceiling. 6. EXPECTATION: honest distribution favoring TP slightly given momentum but respecting overbought/accelerating-down-OI contra and chop base rate.
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