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SOLUSD long — 20 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 106.37 and hit its target at 107.738 after 20.2 hours, closing at +1.29%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-20 16:54 |
| Entry | 106.37 |
| Stop-loss | 104.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 107.738 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 108.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 107.738 |
| Realized P&L | +1.29% |
| Time open | 20.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bear_aligned); 1h ADX 19.4 slope +5.5 firming but ADX20 13.6 chop-grade, ER10 0.24 / ER30 0.10 / choppiness 45.4 / Hurst 0.36 all flag a mean-reverting non-trending path, HMM calm conf 1.0 — transitional chop with a near-term up-tick. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin-but-real LONG — near-term momentum (net_move_pct_4h +1.80, 24h +1.91) and lower-TF bull stacks lean up, and agg OI building (+0.44) into a rising move; the 4h bear stack is the main offset. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short-term momentum cluster — 5m/15m EMA bull-aligned, firming 1h ADX slope +5.5, positive net 4h/24h moves, agg OI accelerating with the move, top-trader pos ratio heavily long (2.31) — a low-timeframe up-leg toward the 5d high only 1.29% away. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h bear stack reasserts and price rejects at the 5d high, taker ratio already soft (0.937, oi_momentum accelerating_down) confirming sellers. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 106.37; stop below the recent reclaim shelf at 104.55 (~1.71% ~0.5x of rv/ADR, beyond the swing invalidation); stretch TP 108.65 (~2.15% up), just through the 5d-high resistance, R:R ~1.25. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime history on SOL longs is mediocre but near-term lean is real; favoring a modest edge with meaningful expire odds.
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