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SOLUSD long — 29 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 102.7031 and stopped out at 100.85 after 1.6 hours, closing at -1.80%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-29 16:12 |
| Entry | 102.7031 |
| Stop-loss | 100.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 104.0212 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 104.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 100.85 |
| Realized P&L | -1.80% |
| Time open | 1.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 0/4 (5m bull/overbought, 15m mixed/overbought, 1h & 4h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 20.3 slope +2.0 (barely trending, firming), ER10 0.70 but ER30 0.02 / choppiness 39 / Hurst 0.37 — a fresh short-horizon impulse inside an otherwise mean-reverting, bear-leaning transitional tape; HMM calm conf 1.0, RV 24h pinned at 99th pctile (vol stretched). 2. LEAN CHECK: fresh 4h/12h upside impulse (net_move_4h +2.12%, 12h +2.54%) with accelerating_up OI, taker ratio >1, top-trader pos ratio 2.79 and climbing (4h chg +0.26) — a modest LONG lean despite the bearish higher-TF EMA stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster is the edge — OI accelerating up, OI z +0.50, top-traders heavily long and adding, taker buys leading, price just +0.37% off the 5d high with momentum; SOL's own 30d record (65% wr, +0.19% avg) favors taking these impulse-longs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: short-TF RSI is deeply overbought (5m 64, 15m 71.7) into the 5d high — a rejection there flips this fast; failure to clear ~103 and a drop back under 101.5 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 102.70; stop 100.85 below the recent impulse base / prior consolidation (~1.8% — within the stretched RV range); stretch TP 104.90 at the next structural resistance above the 5d high (~2.1% / 1.19x risk, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought-into-resistance caps upside odds but flow backs the push.
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