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SOLUSD long — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 97.62 and stopped out at 95.55 after 2.5 hours, closing at -2.12%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-11-04 15:08
Entry97.62
Stop-loss95.55
Take-profit 198.988
Take-profit 2 (stretch)99.9
Reward:risk at entry1.10
Outcomestopped out
Close price95.55
Realized P&L-2.12%
Time open2.5 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m bull_aligned (RSI 85/82 extreme), 1h mixed, 4h still bear_aligned; 1h ADX 18.7 slope +2.4 (firming from chop), ER10 0.67 (clean near-term), ER30 0.36, choppiness 28 (trending edge), Hurst 0.25 anti-persistent, HMM calm — a fresh bullish impulse breaking out of a transitional/bearish frame. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — SOL +4.48% 24h, net +4.2% 4h / +7.1% 12h, OI accelerating_up with oi_5m_z +4.3, taker 1.22, top-trader pos ratio 2.63 and rising; the impulse is one-sided up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z_24h +4.3, agg_oi +5.2% 24h, taker 1.22 with top-trader pos ratio climbing (+0.29 4h) — real money adding into an up-move that just tagged the 5d high (0.0% off). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 85/82 on 5m/15m is extreme overbought into a still-bearish 4h stack — a sharp mean-reversion pullback invalidates a chase here. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 97.62; stop below the breakout shelf / recent consolidation at 95.55 (~2.1% = ~0.25x rv_24h, within range); stretch TP 99.90 (~2.3% = ~1.1x stop distance), an honest push above the 5d high, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought stretch tempers follow-through but flow is strong — p_tp1 46 / p_sl 38 / p_expire 16.

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