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SOLUSD long — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 95.84 and stopped out at 93.65 after 20.9 hours, closing at -2.29%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-11-04 17:53
Entry95.84
Stop-loss93.65
Take-profit 197.496
Take-profit 2 (stretch)98.6
Reward:risk at entry1.26
Outcomestopped out
Close price93.65
Realized P&L-2.29%
Time open20.9 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h mixed (RSI 64), 4h still bear_aligned; 1h ADX 21.8 slope +5.3 (firming from chop), ER10 0.40 / ER30 0.23, choppiness 31.5 (trending edge), Hurst 0.26 anti-persistent, HMM calm — a fresh bullish impulse lifting out of a transitional/bearish frame. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — SOL +2.6% 24h with strong near-term impulse (net +3.09% 4h, +3.31% 12h) and OI building into the move. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow+positioning — oi_momentum accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.52, oi_change_recent_half +4.6%), top-trader position ratio 2.6 (longs stacked), 4h top-trader ratio rising +0.21, funding mildly positive/building; combined with a firming 1h ADX this is fresh longs pressing a bounce, and SOL's 30d track record is strong (65% wr). 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h EMA stack is still bear_aligned and price sits only -1% off the 5d high — a rejection there flips this back into the dominant bearish higher-TF frame. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 95.84; stop 93.65 below the recent impulse base / 15m structure (~2.3% stop, within the ~5% 24h range); take_profit_1 98.60 (~2.9% up, ~1.26x the stop distance), a reach toward the 5d-high zone, reachable given current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum and flow favor continuation but the 4h bearish frame and overbought near-term temper it.

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