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SOLUSD long — 5 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 93.2771 and stopped out at 90.95 after 17 minutes, closing at -2.49%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-05 14:53 |
| Entry | 93.2771 |
| Stop-loss | 90.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 94.9408 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 96.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 90.95 |
| Realized P&L | -2.49% |
| Time open | 17 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA stack bear_aligned (4h ADX 25), 5m bear_aligned, 1h/15m mixed; MTF 2/4 transitional, 1h ADX 23.3 slope -3.1 (fading), ER30 0.002 (nets-nowhere noise), choppiness 45, Hurst 0.31 anti-persistent, HMM calm — a bearish higher-TF frame where the latest leg down has over-extended intraday. 2. LEAN CHECK: short bias from the higher-TF bear frame, but near-term tape is deeply stretched — 5m RSI 14.8 / 15m RSI 18.8 oversold, net_move -3.49% in 4h, z -0.98, OI collapsing (oi_5m_z -4.2, agg_oi -6.6%) with accelerating_down momentum = capitulation/flush that typically mean-reverts; top traders are heavily long (pos ratio 2.68, account ratio 3.28) and 4h delta +0.05 (adding). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: lean long as a reclaim bounce — the OI flush + extreme oversold on 5m/15m into +2.63% off the 5d/20d/90d low, with top-trader positioning firmly long and SOL's strong 64% WR track record on mean-reversion longs here; this is the asset's repeated playbook (two prior oversold-bounce longs won +1.05% in same setup). 4. PRE-MORTEM: if the 4h bear impulse continues and price loses the 5d-low shelf (~90.8) with OI continuing to accelerate down, the bounce fails and it keeps bleeding. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.28, stop below the recent flush low / 5d-low shelf at 90.95 (~2.5% ≈ 0.55x 24h range, tight relative to rv), stretch target 96.05 (~2.97%, R:R ~1.19) toward the 1h EMA cluster / recovered mid-range. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce edge is real but counter-trend into a bearish 4h frame, so measured.
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