SOLUSD short — 24 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 74.17 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 73.847 with a price move of +0.44%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-24 14:03 |
| Entry | 74.17 |
| Stop-loss | 76.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 72.508 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 71.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.40 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 73.847 |
| Realized P&L | +0.44% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: EMA bear-aligned on 5m/15m/1h with 1h ADX 33 and slope +3.9 (strengthening), 4h mixed but RSI 31 — a genuine, accelerating bear_trend; Hurst 0.45 slightly mean-reverting. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend and momentum point down (net -1.7% 4h, -2.9% 24h, taker 1h 0.81 selling), so the short side has the edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: bear-aligned MTF with rising ADX plus falling OI (oi_5m_z -2.27, agg_oi -1.6%) shows a sell-driven decline with positions closing into weakness — trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold across TFs (1h 22, 15m 18) and z_score -1.94, sitting at the 90d low — a snapback bounce would invalidate; also top-trader pos ratio 1.62 long is a contrarian caution. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 74.17, stop above the recent congestion/4h structure at 76.15 (beyond the reclaim zone, ~2.7% risk), stretch TP at 71.40 targeting continuation to fresh lows (~3.7% reward, R:R ~1.4). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold condition raises bounce risk but trend/momentum favor continuation.
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