SOLUSD short — 29 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 73.54 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 74.79 with a price move of -1.70%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-29 13:51 |
| Entry | 73.54 |
| Stop-loss | 74.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 72.271 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 71.425 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 74.79 |
| Realized P&L | -1.70% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (all EMAs bear_aligned 5m/15m/1h/4h), ADX 1h ~22 (genuine but modest trend), Hurst 0.48 (mildly mean-reverting), funding slightly negative — an established bear trend with only modest momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: trend-aligned short is the clear side; MTF is unanimous bearish and flow (taker 0.85, agg funding negative, OI declining -3%) leans down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full bearish EMA stack across all four TFs plus 1h taker 0.849 selling pressure and decelerating/declining OI supports continuation lower; net_move_4h -0.85% shows fresh downside momentum, price is -1.35 z below 20d mean but still 1.1% above the 90d low with room to travel. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader account ratio 2.93 and position ratio 1.58 (rising +0.03 4h) means the smart-money cohort is net-long and building — a squeeze reclaim above ~74.9 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 73.54, stop above recent structure/reclaim at 74.95 (1.92% risk, beyond the 5m/15m EMAs and z-mean), TP1 stretch at 71.05 targeting the 90d-low zone (3.39% reward, R:R ~1.76). 6. EXPECTATION: SOL WR here is weak (33%) and top-traders lean against, so temper — p_tp1 42, p_sl 34, p_expire 24.
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