SOLUSD short — 6 Aug 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 72.9471 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 73.947 with a price move of -1.37%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-06 13:11 |
| Entry | 72.9471 |
| Stop-loss | 74.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 72.0188 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 71.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 73.947 |
| Realized P&L | -1.37% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 3/4 bear-aligned (5m/15m/4h bear, 1h mixed), but 1h ADX only 12 / adx_20 8 (deep chop), Hurst 0.28 (strongly mean-reverting), choppiness 47.6 (neutral), ER-30 0.20, HMM calm — a low-directionality chop regime with a bearish tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is down (net -0.46% 4h, -1.39% 24h), price sits near 5d/20d lows (z -0.92), fear_greed 25 (Extreme Fear), latest taker 0.75 (sell-heavy) — the short side has the modest edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: sell-leaning tape aligned with bearish EMA stacks on 5m/15m/4h plus negative funding-z (-1.26) and OI decelerating (oi_5m_z -1.24) — a soft de-leveraging drift lower, and this asset's prior wins were all shorts. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Hurst 0.28 + oversold RSI (30-34 on lower TFs) + top-trader pos ratio 1.74 long lean argue for a mean-reversion bounce off the low — a reclaim of ~74.2 kills the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 72.95, stop above the recent consolidation shelf at 74.35 (~1.9%, within rv/atr band), stretch target down toward the 5d-low zone at 71.40 (~2.1%, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a bearish lean but strong mean-reversion pull keeps p_expire meaningful.
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