SOLUSD short — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 92.2296 and stopped out at 93.95 after 1.8 hours, closing at -1.87%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 10:27 |
| Entry | 92.2296 |
| Stop-loss | 93.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 90.9518 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 90.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.95 |
| Realized P&L | -1.87% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA bull-aligned but 5m/15m mixed (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed), 1h ADX 38.9 with sharply negative slope -8.65 (strong trend fading hard), ER10 0.13/ER30 0.10 (very noisy/stalled), choppiness 37.3 (trending edge), Hurst 0.48 neutral, HMM volatile conf 1.0 — a HTF bull trend that has rolled into an active intraday pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: net -2.16% 4h and -2.13% 12h show fresh downside momentum against a still-bull HTF stack; short-term flow tilts down but the higher-TF trend is up — genuinely mixed, but the immediate momentum + fading ADX + heavy sell-side takers give a modest short-term short lean; however top-traders are 2.05x long and 5d high is only -6.9% away, so this is thin. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is short-term flow — taker ratio 0.89 (persistently sub-1 across the 24h history), oi_momentum accelerating_down with negative oi z-scores (-0.92/-0.74), and net -2.1% over both 4h/12h — a coordinated intraday distribution against a stalled trend; this is counter to the 4h bull stack so I keep it a low-confidence tactical short with no reclaim to fade against. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim above the 4h EMA / recent consolidation (~93.5) with taker ratio flipping >1 would confirm the HTF bull resuming and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 92.23, stop 93.95 (beyond the reclaim level, ~1.87% — within the elevated RV/atr range given 4h atr 3.35%), take_profit_1 90.10 (structural support toward the 5d-low direction, ~2.31% / ~1.24x stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: fading ADX + sell flow favor downside near-term but HTF bull and long top-traders cap it; p_tp1 41, p_sl 36, p_expire 23.
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