SOLUSD short — 7 Sep 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 103.29 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 103.712 with a price move of -0.41%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-07 15:40 |
| Entry | 103.29 |
| Stop-loss | 105.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.496 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.45 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 103.712 |
| Realized P&L | -0.41% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (alignment 0/4; 5m bear, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bull EMA), 1h ADX 17.2 slope -1.6 (weak/fading), ER10 0.39/ER30 0.26, choppiness 47, Hurst 0.47, HMM calm 0.9999 — a cooling HTF uptrend rolling into low-conviction chop after a -2.5% day. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — net -1.5% 4h / -2.3% 24h, taker 1h 0.907 (sellers), agg OI -6.4% and Binance OI z -2.2 accelerating_down (longs bleeding), price near 5d/20d high side (-3.5%) but momentum down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — falling OI into a down move with sub-1 taker ratio and negative funding unwinding signals long liquidation/de-risking, aligned with the near-term bearish 5m stack and negative net moves. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h EMA still bull-aligned and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.34) — a reclaim of ~$105 with rising ADX would flip this back to trend-continuation up. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 103.29; stop above the intraday pivot / prior consolidation at 105.35 (~2.0% = ~0.43x rv_24h, structural invalidation); TP1 stretch at 100.30 toward the 5d-low zone (~2.9% below, R:R ~1.45, inside clamps, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 2.34%). 6. EXPECTATION: countertrend-to-1h/4h but flow-aligned short in chop; modest edge.
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