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SOLUSD short — 29 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 117.25 and stopped out at 120.35 after 10.4 hours, closing at -2.64%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-29 01:23 |
| Entry | 117.25 |
| Stop-loss | 120.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 115.06 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 113.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 120.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.64% |
| Time open | 10.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 22.7 slope +1.6 (weak trend firming), ER10 0.20/ER30 0.29 (noisy), choppiness 61.8 (range-bound edge), Hurst 0.51, HMM calm — HTF bull structure eroding into a near-term bearish pullback; transitional/chop-lean-down. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term SHORT lean — net -0.38% 4h, -2.16% 12h, -2.88% 24h, taker ratio 0.90 sell-heavy, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.62), agg OI -4.1%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI momentum accelerating_down while price bleeds and taker flow is persistently sell-heavy across recent hourly buckets, a classic longs-unwinding pullback aligned with the two lower TFs; the short side has also won 3 of the last 4 SOL calls in exactly this configuration. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h remains bull_aligned and top-trader pos ratio is a heavy 2.43 (rising) — a reclaim of ~120 with the HTF trend would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 117.25; stop 120.35 (above the 1h reclaim zone / recent supply, ~2.6% = ~0.4x rv but structurally clean); target 113.60 (toward the 5d-low shelf, ~3.1% down, R:R ~1.18, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: sell-heavy flow + accelerating_down OI favor continuation but choppiness and HTF bull support cap conviction.
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