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SOLUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 106.9032 and stopped out at 110.15 after 3.7 hours, closing at -3.04%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 17:35 |
| Entry | 106.9032 |
| Stop-loss | 110.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 104.5313 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 102.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 110.15 |
| Realized P&L | -3.04% |
| Time open | 3.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 56.6 slope +7.0 (strong, firming), ER10 0.88 very clean / ER30 0.60, choppiness 25.2 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a strong, mature, accelerating DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT by trend momentum — net -4.76%/4h, -6.94%/12h, -8.09%/24h all freshly negative and accelerating, OI accelerating_down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — MTF bear stack + firming 56 ADX + clean 0.88 ER10 + accelerating_down OI (oi_15m_z -3.57, oi_change_recent_half -5.25%) confirm continuation; this exact setup won three times on this asset (68.8% WR). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/15m RSI deeply oversold (12.6/22.0) at a fresh 20d/90d low with top-trader pos ratio 2.08 long — a mean-revert bounce would invalidate; the stop sits above the recent swing to tolerate a snap-back. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 106.90; stop 110.15 (above the 4h-structure/snapback zone, ~3.0% = ~1.3x avg 24h traversal in this high-vol regime); take_profit_1 102.95 (stretch, ~3.70% below entry, R:R ~1.2, inside the 4% clamp, a reachable continuation leg given -8% daily move and p90 range 8.2%). 6. EXPECTATION: trend strongly favors continuation but deep oversold raises bounce odds.
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