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SOLUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 113.4868 and hit its target at 112.1447 after 1.8 hours, closing at +1.18%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 11:20 |
| Entry | 113.4868 |
| Stop-loss | 115.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 112.1447 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 111.25 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 112.1447 |
| Realized P&L | +1.18% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 44.5 slope +1.97 (strong, firming trend), ER10 0.55 moderately clean, choppiness 45, Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a strong, mature DOWN trend that has just tagged the 5d/20d/90d lows (dist_from all = +0.000). 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT by trend momentum (net -1.27%/4h, -2.43%/12h, -3.30%/24h), but RSI oversold across all TFs (22-27) and rolling_z -3.27 signals stretched — this is the tension; prior SOL shorts into fresh lows won +1.16/1.28/1.33%, so I lean SHORT but keep a modest target. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend+flow cluster — bear EMA stack, accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -3.86, oi_momentum accelerating_down), taker 0.78 (sellers dominant), agg OI -3.68% — momentum unwinding longs confirms continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme oversold RSI + z-score -3.27 + top-trader pos ratio 1.92 (longs leaning in) means a sharp mean-reversion bounce off the lows invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 113.49; stop above the recent intraday reclaim ~115.65 (1.9% — within rv range given atr_1h 0.77%); stretch target 111.25 (~2.0% down, next structural shelf), R:R ~1.03, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold stretch tempers continuation odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 39, p_expire 17.
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