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SOLUSD short — 12 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 107.7849 and hit its target at 106.354 after 5.2 hours, closing at +1.33%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-12 17:50 |
| Entry | 107.7849 |
| Stop-loss | 110.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 106.354 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 105.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 106.354 |
| Realized P&L | +1.33% |
| Time open | 5.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment_score 4/4 bear across 5m/15m/1h, 1h ADX 27.4 slope +5.6 (firming trend), ER10 0.85 (clean one-way DOWN recently), choppiness 33 (<38, strongly trending), Hurst 0.45, HMM calm — this is a fresh, strengthening DOWN trend, not chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — net -2.44%/4h, -4.48%/12h, -3.86%/24h all deeply negative with high efficiency. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum+flow cluster — accelerating_down OI (oi_15m_z -3.2, oi_momentum accelerating_down) with oi_change -3.5% means shorts pressing as price falls, taker ratio 0.86 (sellers dominant), ER10 0.85 confirms clean downside; trend-aligned with the 4/4 bear EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/15m RSI oversold (27.9/29.3) and top-trader pos ratio 2.15 (longs dominant) — a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d_low (+1.36% below) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 107.78, stop above the recent swing/near-term structure at 110.15 (~2.2% / in line with 1h atr 0.89% and rv), target down toward 5d-low extension at 105.40 (~2.2% = ~1.0x stop distance, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.78% and current momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold RSI tempers the stretch probability; p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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