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SOLUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 104.0862 and hit its target at 101.8145 after 33 minutes, closing at +2.18%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 00:20 |
| Entry | 104.0862 |
| Stop-loss | 106.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.8145 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 101.8145 |
| Realized P&L | +2.18% |
| Time open | 33 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 bear-aligned across 5m/15m/1h (4h mixed), 1h ADX 37.2 slope +5.25 (strong, firming), ER10 0.70 (clean one-way), choppiness 27.4 (<38, strongly trending), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm 1.0 — a strong, strengthening DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — net -4.08%/4h, -5.65%/12h, -6.81%/24h all deeply negative with high efficiency, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d_low (dist 0.00). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -3.60, agg_oi -5.2%), taker ratio 0.79 (sellers dominant), fresh breakdown to new lows; this asset's own track record shorts the strengthening down-trend repeatedly (wins +2.63/+1.33/+1.26%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 22, 15m 13.9, 1h 19.6) + z-score -2.12 + top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.24) means a sharp mean-reversion bounce could trigger stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.09, stop above the recent breakdown shelf at 106.95 (~2.75% / within rv band given 1h atr 1.1%), stretch target 100.30 (~3.64%, R:R ~1.33) at a round structural level below the fresh lows, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold stretch risk tempers — p_tp1 44, p_sl 36, p_expire 20.
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