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SOLUSD short — 15 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 101.3418 and stopped out at 103.55 after 35 minutes, closing at -2.18%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-15 13:35 |
| Entry | 101.3418 |
| Stop-loss | 103.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.7267 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 103.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.18% |
| Time open | 35 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 29.9 slope +2.55 (firming above trend threshold), 4h ADX 45.7 strong trend anchor, ER30 0.35 / choppiness 56.8 mid-range, Hurst 0.42 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a genuine, strengthening DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — full bear EMA stack, net -1.73%/4h, -3.30%/24h, taker 0.864 sell-heavy, price at 5d/20d/90d lows (dist +0.000 to lows). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — fresh downside momentum into fresh lows with ADX firming on both 1h (29.9, +2.55) and 4h (45.7) anchors; taker ratio sub-1 and recent hourly ratios skewed sell-side confirm active distribution. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 29.9 oversold + rolling z -1.95 + top-trader pos ratio 1.99 long signals a possible mean-reversion bounce; a reclaim above ~103.3 (recent intraday pivot) would void the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 101.34, stop above the invalidation pivot at 103.55 (2.18% / ~1x 24h RV atr), take_profit_1 at 98.65 (stretch, 2.66% below entry, R:R ~1.22, inside clamps) targeting a measured extension of the breakdown. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with firming ADX but stretched/oversold raises bounce odds and expire risk.
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