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SOLUSD short — 16 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 102.7754 and stopped out at 105.1 after 8.5 hours, closing at -2.26%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-16 19:05 |
| Entry | 102.7754 |
| Stop-loss | 105.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.3502 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.02 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 105.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.26% |
| Time open | 8.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/5m EMA stacks all bear_aligned (4h ADX 37 strong anchor, 1h ADX 17.8 slope +4.0 firming out of chop), ER30 0.085 / choppiness 44 / Hurst 0.42 flag a noisy mean-reverting path — a genuine 4h DOWN trend currently extended to the downside, HMM calm. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest SHORT lean — dominant bear stacks across TFs, net -0.93%/4h, -3.37%/12h, -3.07%/24h, OI accelerating_down (oi_15m_z -2.24) confirming longs bleeding out as price falls. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned SHORT — the 4h bear structure (ADX 37) plus 1h ADX firming (+4.0 slope) and accelerating_down OI is the strongest cluster; price pressing toward the 5d low after a clean 12h/24h selloff. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is already at rolling z -1.74 and only +1.3% off the 5d/20d low with top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.35) — a mean-reversion bounce off that support would invalidate; taker 1.18 last hour hints a bid is stepping in. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent 4h swing / reclaim shelf at 105.10 (~2.26% risk, within the ~4.9% ADR); take_profit_1 at 100.40 just above the 5d low cluster (~2.31% reward, R:R ~1.02, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but into stretched/support zone with top-trader long crowding and taker bid — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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