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SOLUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 100.9571 and stopped out at 102.93 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.95%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Entry | 100.9571 |
| Stop-loss | 102.93 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.6328 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.12 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 102.93 |
| Realized P&L | -1.95% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 4h ADX 39.9 strong bear anchor, 1h ADX 25 slope +2.67 firming; ER30 0.24 / choppiness 39.3 / Hurst 0.39 flag a mean-reverting path but sub-trending — a genuine bear trend, HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT lean — bear stacks dominate all four TFs with firming ADX and fresh -2.88% 24h net move at the 5d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster — all four TF EMA stacks bearish, 4h ADX ~40, price pressing fresh 5d/20d/90d low (dist 0.00% from lows), negative agg funding z -2.1 and Binance funding z -1.9 unwinding confirm downside continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold 1h/15m RSI (28.8/26.1) + rolling z -2.0 + top-trader pos ratio 2.04 heavily long could spark a mean-revert bounce that reclaims ~102.5 and invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent swing/reclaim zone at 102.93 (~1.95% / within 24h range); stretch target 98.75 (~2.19% below entry), R:R ~1.12, a structural extension beyond the 5d low, reachable given avg 24h traversal 1.9% and rv 59%. 6. EXPECTATION: trend firm but oversold raises bounce/expire odds — p_tp1 46 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 20.
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