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SOLUSD short — 19 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 104.03 and stopped out at 106.15 after 24 hours, closing at -2.04%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-19 14:09 |
| Entry | 104.03 |
| Stop-loss | 106.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 102.692 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 106.15 |
| Realized P&L | -2.04% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA stack bear_aligned with the strongest ADX (34, rv elevated 60th pctile), 1h mixed/ADX 21.6 slope -3.06 fading, mtf_alignment mixed 0/4, ER30 0.06 / choppiness 52.5 / Hurst 0.39 all flag a mean-reverting, sub-trending path inside a broader 4h DOWN structure; HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but the dominant HTF anchor is the 4h bear stack, while near-term momentum is soft (net 4h -0.97%, 12h -1.45%) — modest SHORT lean, consistent with this asset's winning short attributions. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: bear-aligned 4h EMA + strongest 4h ADX is the structural anchor, reinforced by accelerating_down OI momentum (oi_change_recent_half -1.41%, oi_5m_z -0.60) and sub-1 taker ratio (0.9617) — price is being sold on waning OI, a trend-aligned continuation signal. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI deeply oversold (27/29) with 15m bull_aligned EMA warns of an imminent bounce that could reclaim the 1h EMAs and flip the lean long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.03; stop above the 5d-high-adjacent swing / oversold-bounce invalidation at 106.15 (~2.0% ≈ well within rv_24h of 56%); stretch target down at 101.80 (~2.14% / RR ~1.05) at the 5d-low vicinity, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~2%. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold near-term risks a bounce, so keep p_sl meaningful and a real p_expire given choppy sub-trending tape.
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