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SOLUSD short — 20 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 107.1021 and hit its target at 105.5708 after 1.1 hours, closing at +1.43%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-20 14:09 |
| Entry | 107.1021 |
| Stop-loss | 109.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 105.5708 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 104.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 105.5708 |
| Realized P&L | +1.43% |
| Time open | 1.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 2/4, 4h EMA bear_aligned (ADX 27.7, the strongest anchor) vs 1h mixed (ADX 15.5) and 15m bull_aligned — transitional; ER30 0.12 / choppiness 44 / Hurst 0.37 all flag a mean-reverting path, HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: a sharp +2.64% 4h bounce has overbought RSI (5m 79.6, 15m 80.6, 1h 70.6) stacked against a dominant bear 4h structure — two-sided but the exhaustion signal plus bear HTF anchor favors a modest SHORT fade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: RSI overbought across three TFs after a vertical 4h push into the 5d-high (price is 0.00% from 5d high) sits inside a bear 4h EMA stack — classic lower-high fade setup; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.2) into resistance with funding z +1.2 means late longs are crowded and vulnerable. 4. PRE-MORTEM: if price holds above the 5d-high and 15m bull stack extends with ADX firming, the fade fails and this becomes a breakout continuation long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 107.10; stop 109.05 above the 5d-high/bounce extension (~1.8%, within rv_24h 43%); take_profit_1 104.55 at the prior consolidation shelf (~2.4%, R:R ~1.3, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought fades in chop resolve but counter-trend vs top-trader longs (pos ratio 2.34) keeps this uncertain.
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