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SOLUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 101.6345 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 101.761 with a price move of -0.12%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 22:42 |
| Entry | 101.6345 |
| Stop-loss | 103.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.2638 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 101.761 |
| Realized P&L | -0.12% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 0/4 but 1h+4h both bear_aligned with 1h ADX 45.9 (strong) though slope -3.87 fading; ER10 0.002 / ER30 0.27 / choppiness 44.7 / Hurst 0.40 — a strong-but-fading bearish 1h/4h structure with heavy near-term chop; HMM calm conf 1.0, RV at 39th pctile, price z-score -1.73 (stretched below mean). 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT lean — the higher-TF EMA stack (1h+4h) is bear-aligned, oi_momentum accelerating_down, net 24h/12h negative; the only counter is deeply stretched z-score and top-trader long tilt, but trend discipline favors the trend-aligned side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 1h ADX 45.9 confirms a real downtrend, oi_change_recent_half -1.58% / oi_momentum accelerating_down shows positions bleeding on the way down, and this asset's track record shorts this exact structure profitably (3 recent short wins). 4. PRE-MORTEM: z_score -1.73 + top_trader_pos_ratio 2.15 long + 5m/15m RSI ~61 flag a mean-reversion bounce; a reclaim back above ~103 with momentum invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 101.63; stop above the near-term structure/reclaim at 103.55 (1.89% / ~1.2x the 1.54% avg 24h traversal, below the fading ADX wiggle); take_profit_1 at 99.35 toward the 5d-low region, giving ~2.28 reward vs 1.92 risk = R:R ~1.19, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: fading ADX + stretched z + chop means meaningful expire odds; p_tp1 42, p_sl 35, p_expire 23.
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