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SOLUSD short — 26 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 100.99 and hit its target at 100.048 after 6.4 hours, closing at +0.93%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 16:42 |
| Entry | 100.99 |
| Stop-loss | 102.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.048 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.42 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 100.048 |
| Realized P&L | +0.93% |
| Time open | 6.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h both bear_aligned with ADX ~27-28 (genuine trend) but 15m flipped bull-aligned and ER_10/30 near zero (0.009/0.024) with Choppiness 58.6 — a bear trend that has stalled into chop near the 5d low (+1.28% above it), z-score -1.44, calm HMM. 2. LEAN CHECK: higher-TF bias is down and oi_momentum is accelerating_down, so the modest lean is short, but it's thin and near support. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: 1h+4h EMA stack bear-aligned with ADX>26 plus accelerating_down OI and funding z elevated (+1.39 / agg +1.67) — longs crowded into a fading tape, trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is only +1.28% off the 5d/20d/90d low with a bullish 15m flip and RSI oversold on 5m (31.8); a reclaim bounce off that low invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 100.99, stop above the recent 4h structure/consolidation shelf at 102.65 (~1.64% = ~1x the 1.47% avg 24h traversal / within RV), target the 5d-low retest zone at 99.45 (~1.53%, R:R ~0.93 — nudge stop tighter to 102.55 for R:R 1.0). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but sitting on multi-day support in chop, so meaningful expire risk.
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