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SOLUSD short — 27 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 101.0676 and stopped out at 102.85 after 13.2 hours, closing at -1.76%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-27 19:12 |
| Entry | 101.0676 |
| Stop-loss | 102.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.917 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 102.85 |
| Realized P&L | -1.76% |
| Time open | 13.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h both bear_aligned (4h ADX 26.2, 1h ADX 21.4 but slope -1.96 fading), mtf 0/4 but 5m flipped bull and 15m mixed, ER10 0.35 / ER30 0.02 / choppiness 58.6 / Hurst 0.39 — a stalled bear trend with a noisy mean-reverting path, HMM calm, RV at a rock-bottom 12th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest SHORT — higher-TF EMA stack is down, price sits well below the 20d/90d high (-6.9%) with z-score -1.06, net_move_12h/24h both positive (a bounce into resistance within a downtrend). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 1h/4h bear stack is the dominant structure, SOL's own 30d track record favors shorts here (recent wins all short), and the recent bounce is losing steam as ADX fades, offering a fade-the-pop entry. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 2.45 (heavily long) plus accelerating_up OI (oi_5m_z +2.18) and taker 1.07 show fresh long pressure — if that follows through, SOL reclaims the 5d-high zone and the short invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 101.07; stop above the recent bounce high / 5d-high shelf at 102.85 (~1.76% / within the 1h-4h atr range); stretch target down at 99.15 (~1.9% / ~1.08x stop distance, R:R >1.0, inside clamps), a reachable structural level given 1.38% typical 24h traversal and room to the 5d-low. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy low-vol tape caps conviction; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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