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SOLUSD short — 2 Nov 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 93.3582 and hit its target at 92.0033 after 1.7 hours, closing at +1.45%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-02 16:08 |
| Entry | 93.3582 |
| Stop-loss | 95.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 92.0033 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 91.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 92.0033 |
| Realized P&L | +1.45% |
| Time open | 1.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (all TFs bear_aligned), but 1h ADX only 16.5 (slope +0.19, barely firming), choppiness 47.9, ER30 0.24 (noisy nets-nowhere), Hurst 0.23 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — low-vol tape that LEANS bearish but is not a clean impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side (bear EMA stack every TF, net move -0.89% 4h / -1.78% 12h, RSI mid-30s all TFs, taker 1h 0.857 sell-skewed), but price sits at a fresh 5d/20d/90d low (dist +0.000) with z-score -1.84 (stretched) — chasing the exact low is the losing pattern in this record, so I take a cautious short, not a chase. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster is dominant — four-TF bear stack plus persistent sub-1.0 taker ratio and sell-leaning net moves; this is the side the tape favors. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim back above ~95 with the stretched z-score (-1.84) snapping back would invalidate — the prior -2.3% losses all came from shorting into the low and getting the bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 93.36; stop above the recent swing/reclaim at 95.05 (1.81% risk, ~0.4x the 4.15% ADR — modest, inside the stretched zone); target the stretch lower toward 91.10 (2.42% away, R:R ~1.33, inside 4% clamp) — a realistic 24h traversal given avg 24h move 1.58% and we're already extended. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but into a stretched low on fading ADX — modest edge, meaningful bounce risk.
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