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SOLUSD short — 2 Nov 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 94.81 and hit its target at 93.724 after 13.3 hours, closing at +1.15%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-02 00:02 |
| Entry | 94.81 |
| Stop-loss | 96.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 93.724 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 93 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 93.724 |
| Realized P&L | +1.15% |
| Time open | 13.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 but 15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned, 1h ADX 27.9 slope +4.4 (firming), choppiness 48, ER10 0.06 / ER30 0.17 (noisy path), Hurst 0.25 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol tape (RV 24h at 20th pctile) that leans bearish but is not cleanly trending. 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side (bear EMA stack on three higher TFs, net -0.92% 24h), but near-term flow is bid — so the lean is modest. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment (15m/1h/4h bear_aligned, 4h RSI 38.7) with price sitting z=-1.59 below 20d mean and -8% off 5d/20d highs favors the short continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 1.3781 latest hour, +0.51% net 4h momentum, funding positive building, and top-trader pos ratio 2.4 long — a short-term bid that could squeeze back toward the 5d mean invalidates a fresh short; a reclaim of ~96.5 would break the bear structure. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 94.81, stop above recent swing / near-term bid at 96.35 (~1.6% / ~0.5x of 3.7% ADR, well within 24h range), take_profit_1 at 93.0 structural support toward the 5d low (~1.9% / ~1.2x stop distance, inside clamps, RR ~1.17). 6. EXPECTATION: thin bear lean against a near-term bid in a low-vol tape — p_tp1 42, p_sl 35, p_expire 23.
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