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SOLUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 91.864 and hit its target at 90.6136 after 2.4 hours, closing at +1.36%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-04 00:38 |
| Entry | 91.864 |
| Stop-loss | 93.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 90.6136 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 89.78 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 90.6136 |
| Realized P&L | +1.36% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h/15m EMA stacks all bear_aligned, 4h ADX 34 (strong) but 1h ADX 22 slope -1.4 (fading), ER30 0.038 (noisy nets-nowhere), choppiness 56, Hurst 0.28 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a bearish higher-TF frame but the near-term impulse is stalling, price stretched low (z -1.64, RSI 24 on 5m/15m, +0.43% off 5d/20d/90d low). 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side (bear EMA stack every TF, net -1.85% 4h, OI unwinding accelerating_down with oi_5m_z -4.7), and this asset's 30d record favors shorts; price is deeply stretched at the lows but with no reclaim, trend-side short is the honest lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend (4h bear ADX 34) confirmed by flow — OI accelerating_down into the drop (-0.77% 24h, -0.9% recent half) with taker 0.91 (sellers), classic bear continuation unwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI 24 at the 90d low with Hurst 0.28 anti-persistent means a mean-reversion bounce/reclaim of ~$93.5 would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 91.86, stop 93.55 beyond the recent 4h swing/reclaim zone (~1.8% ≈ 0.5x the 4.18% avg daily range, structural invalidation), target 89.78 (~2.3% down, 1.23x stop distance, toward the lower extension below the 90d low) — RR ~1.23, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but deeply stretched & low-efficiency, so meaningful bounce risk and expire odds.
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