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SOLUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 90.55 and stopped out at 92.15 after 1 hours, closing at -1.77%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-04 03:08 |
| Entry | 90.55 |
| Stop-loss | 92.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 89.47 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 88.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.12 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 92.15 |
| Realized P&L | -1.77% |
| Time open | 1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF 4/4, 4h ADX 35 / 1h ADX 25.4 slope +3.0 (firming), choppiness 38 (trending edge), Hurst 0.27 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine bear trend with near-term impulse reaccelerating down (net -2.48% 4h). 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side; every TF bear_aligned and OI unwinding into the drop (oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -4.6). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow — bear EMA stack on all four TFs with ADX firming, taker ratio 0.72 (sellers dominant), falling into the 5d/20d/90d low; the tape is making fresh lows with momentum, not stalling. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is deeply stretched (z -1.96, RSI 22 on 5m/15m, sitting exactly on 5d/20d/90d low) and top-traders remain heavily long (pos ratio 2.33) — an oversold reclaim bounce would invalidate the chase. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 90.55, stop above the recent 4h swing/intraday structure at 92.15 (~1.77% / within atr range), target the next leg down at 88.75 (~1.99%, R:R ~1.13, inside clamps, reachable given 1.77% avg 24h traversal and fresh-low momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with firming ADX but oversold stretch risks a bounce — p_tp1 46, p_sl 33, p_expire 21.
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