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SOLUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 93.1687 and stopped out at 95.35 after 7.2 hours, closing at -2.34%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-04 07:38 |
| Entry | 93.1687 |
| Stop-loss | 95.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 91.7775 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 90.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 95.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.34% |
| Time open | 7.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h and 1h EMA stacks bear_aligned (4h ADX 35 strong, 1h ADX 20.5 slope -4.4 fading), MTF mixed 0/4, ER10 0.10 / ER30 0.08 / choppiness 42.8 (noisy nets-nowhere), Hurst 0.27 anti-persistent, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a bearish higher-TF frame but near-term impulse is stalling with price stretched low (z -1.17, +2.5% off 5d/20d/90d low). 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side — bear EMA stack on both 1h/4h, fear regime (34), total mcap -3.1% 24h, OI accelerating_down into the drop; this matches SOL's strong short track record (all 3 recent wins were shorts off this exact setup). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: higher-TF bear structure plus unwinding OI (oi_momentum_state accelerating_down, oi_change_recent_half -0.63%) and taker ratio 0.96 sub-1 — flow and trend both lean down; top-trader pos ratio falling (-0.045 4h) confirms longs trimming. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the +2.30% net 4h bounce off the low with RSI firming to 54-59 on 5m/15m could be a reclaim that invalidates the short if price pushes back above the 5d-high zone ~95.8. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.17, stop_loss 95.35 (beyond the 4h-bounce invalidation / above recent local reclaim, ~2.34% = within rv band), take_profit_1 90.85 (structural retest toward the 5d-low region, ~2.49% = ~1.06x stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but stalling with a fresh bounce fighting it — p_tp1 45, p_sl 38, p_expire 17.
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