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SOLUSD short — 5 Nov 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 91.26 and hit its target at 89.754 after 16 minutes, closing at +1.65%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-05 15:38 |
| Entry | 91.26 |
| Stop-loss | 93.45 |
| Take-profit 1 | 89.754 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 88.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 89.754 |
| Realized P&L | +1.65% |
| Time open | 16 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bear-aligned, 1h/15m mixed but all RSIs deeply oversold (5m 29, 15m 19, 1h 28), ADX ~25 rising, Hurst 0.29 (mean-reverting), choppiness 29 — a downtrend day that has flushed hard (-5.8% 24h) into oversold. 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum is firmly down (net_move -5.5% 4h, OI accelerating_down, agg OI -10%), so the trend-aligned side is short, but price sits at +0.34% from 5d/20d/90d lows with z-score -1.6 and oversold RSIs — late to chase. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the dominant cluster is bearish flow — oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_15m_z -4.7, agg_oi -10%, taker ratio 0.818 (sellers), funding still positive z~1.0 (longs paying into a dump = more unwind fuel), 4h EMA bear-aligned; continuation short is trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim above ~93.3 (back over the broken intraday shelf) with RSI lifting off oversold would signal the flush is done and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 91.26, stop above 93.45 structural reclaim (2.40% ≈ ~0.5x rv given elevated vol, invalidation-anchored), target 88.75 just above fresh-low zone — stop dist 2.19, reward 2.51, R:R 1.15, well inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold bounce risk is real, so meaningful p_expire/p_sl.
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