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How to read a crypto trading signal
How do you read a crypto trading signal?
A Drishti Pro signal has six parts: a direction (long or short), an entry price, a stop-loss (where the idea is wrong), two take-profit targets — TP1, the win line, and TP2, the stretch target — and a confidence with a reward-to-risk ratio. Read them together: the direction is the thesis, the entry is where it's valid, and the stop-loss and targets define the risk and reward. A signal wins the moment TP1 is hit before the stop; the stop then moves to TP1 and the position rides toward TP2. Every signal is scored win or loss when it closes.
Updated 2026-08-28 · 894 signals tracked
- 60.7%Win rate
- 1.27Avg R
- 50TP2 hits
- 894Signals
The six parts of a signal
- Direction — long means the model expects the price to rise; short means it expects a fall.
- Entry — the price the idea is valid from. Far above/below the current price? The setup may not be active yet.
- Stop-loss (SL) — the price at which the thesis is wrong and the trade is cut to limit the loss.
- Take-profit 1 (TP1) — the win line. If price reaches TP1 before the stop-loss, the signal is scored a win and the stop moves up to TP1, locking the trade in.
- Take-profit 2 (TP2) — the stretch target. After TP1 is hit, the position rides toward TP2 with risk pinned at TP1.
- Confidence & reward-to-risk (R) — how strong the setup is, and how much is targeted per unit risked.
A worked example
Suppose a signal reads: BTC · LONG · entry 60,000 · SL 58,800 · TP1 62,400 · TP2 64,000. The model expects Bitcoin to rise from 60,000. If it falls to 58,800 first, the idea is wrong and the signal is a loss (a ~2% risk). If it climbs to 62,400 first, the signal is scored a win (a ~4% reward — roughly 2R), the stop moves up to 62,400, and the position rides toward the 64,000 stretch target with the win already banked. If neither the stop nor TP1 is hit within 24 hours, the signal expires and is excluded from the win rate. Drishti Pro averages 1.27 reward-to-risk across its 894 signals.
Why the stop-loss and TP1 matter most
The entry gets the attention, but the stop-loss and the first target TP1 are what make a signal accountable. They turn a vague opinion into a testable trade: TP1 first is a win, stop first is a loss, and neither within 24 hours is an expiry that drops out of the win rate. That is exactly how Drishti Pro scores its public 60.7% track record — TP2 is extra upside on top, never part of the win definition.
Next: what are AI crypto signals and AI crypto signals explained.
Why signals expire before they win or lose
Drishti Pro runs on a 15-minute cycle. A tracker checks every open signal against its stop-loss, its take-profit, and a 24-hour clock. Most signals resolve as a win or a loss inside that window. Some don't move far enough in either direction before the clock runs out. An expiry is not a loss. It sits outside the win-rate math entirely, because price never confirmed the thesis or denied it. A crypto perpetual can drift for days without testing either level, so the 24-hour window keeps a signal from sitting open indefinitely. Drishti Pro has logged 135 expiries out of 894 signals published since 22 July 2026. The full pipeline, including the engineered features that feed the model each cycle, is documented on the methodology page.
Confidence is a probability, not a guarantee
Every signal carries a confidence score next to its reward-to-risk. That number is the model's own probability estimate for the trade, set at the same moment as the entry, stop and targets. Once a signal closes, Drishti Pro grades that estimate with a multiclass Brier score, a standard check for whether a model that claims 70% confidence actually wins near 70% of the time across many trades. A single high-confidence signal can still lose, and a low-confidence one can still win if the reward-to-risk is generous enough. Confidence measures calibration over a run of signals, not the outcome of any one trade.
Long and short don't read the same way
Take a short instead of a long. A signal reading ETH · SHORT · entry 3,200 · SL 3,280 · TP1 3,090 · TP2 3,010 reads the same way as a long: a level where the thesis breaks, a level where it's confirmed, and a stretch target past that. What changes is the base rate. Drishti Pro's longs and shorts don't win at the same pace: 64.3% against 50.3%, from 557 and 193 signals. Direction is part of the setup. Don't skip past it to reach the numbers.
The 11 markets this covers
Drishti Pro tracks a fixed universe of 11 USD perpetuals on Delta Exchange India: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, DOGE, AAVE and HYPE, plus two metals proxies, PAXG and XAUT for gold and SLVON for silver. A signal never appears for an asset outside this list. A signal for a coin you don't see here didn't come from Drishti Pro. The metals proxies trade like crypto perpetuals but track a different kind of driver, so a gold or silver signal is reading a slower, less volatile setup than a DOGE one.
How big is the sample behind the rate
A win rate means little without knowing how many trades built it. Drishti Pro has closed 750 decisive signals, wins plus losses, out of 894 published since 22 July 2026. The 95% confidence interval around the published rate runs from 57.1% to 64.1%. A narrow interval means the rate is settling down. A wide one means the headline number is still an estimate, not a fact. Check both before acting on either.
What a signal doesn't cover
A signal prices an idea. It doesn't price everything around the idea.
- Slippage and funding-rate drag on Delta Exchange India perpetuals. The model prices the idea, not your fill.
- Position size. A signal never sets how much capital to risk. That decision is yours alone.
- Correlation across the universe. Signals are generated per asset on their own; they don't flag when BTC, ETH and SOL are all leaning the same way at once.
Every closed signal is a taxable event in India
Reading the signal right matters past the trade itself. Section 115BBH taxes gains on virtual digital assets at a flat 30 percent, plus cess, with no loss set-off and no carry-forward against other income. Section 194S adds a 1 percent TDS on many transfers. A loss on the ledger is a real loss with no offset waiting on the other side, and a run of wins doesn't net against it either. None of this is tax advice. It's a reminder that the stop-loss, not the take-profit, is what defines the downside on both the trade and the tax bill.
Every signal Drishti Pro has published, win, loss or expiry, stays on the public track record page. Compare it against other services on the win-rate benchmark, or watch signals resolve in real time on the live feed.
FAQ
What does long and short mean in a signal?
Long means the signal expects the price to rise; short means it expects a fall. Each comes with an entry, a stop-loss and two take-profit targets (TP1 and TP2).
What is a good reward-to-risk ratio?
Above 1 means you're targeting more than you risk. Drishti Pro averages 1.27 across 894 signals; combined with win rate it determines profitability.
What is a stop-loss?
The price at which a trade idea is considered wrong and closed to cap the loss — the single most important part of any signal.
What are TP1 and TP2?
TP1 is the win line — the signal is scored a win the moment price hits it before the stop, and the stop then moves up to TP1. TP2 is the stretch target the position rides toward afterwards. 50 Drishti Pro signals have gone on to hit TP2 so far.
What is a Brier score and why does Drishti Pro use it?
A Brier score checks whether a model's stated confidence matches its real outcomes over time. If a signal is published at 70% confidence, the Brier score across many signals shows whether that number holds up, separately from whether any single trade won or lost.
Do crypto signal losses offset gains for Indian tax purposes?
No. Section 115BBH taxes virtual digital asset gains at a flat 30% plus cess, and losses can't be set off against gains or carried forward to future years. Every signal, win or loss, is its own taxable event.
See Drishti Pro's live signals Get the app
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.