AAVEUSD long — 8 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 91.9484 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 91.52 with a price move of -0.47%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-08 21:23 |
| Entry | 91.9484 |
| Stop-loss | 90.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 93.1194 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 93.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 91.52 |
| Realized P&L | -0.47% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h ADX 21.4 rising (slope +2.4), 15m ADX 34, choppiness 41, ER-10 0.70 (clean short-term move), Hurst 0.53, HMM calm; 5m/15m bull-aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bear-aligned — a low-vol tape (RV 24.5th pctile, near floor) with a fresh short-term bull thrust off the lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly long — fast TFs bull-aligned, OI accelerating up with rising top-trader positioning, and price bounced +4.7% off 5d/20d/90d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster leads — oi_momentum accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +0.94), top_trader_pos_ratio 1.49 (leaning long), taker 1.16 and net +0.52% 4h / +1.78% 12h, all reinforcing a reclaim push from the low; ER-10 0.70 says the recent path is clean, not noise. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h EMA still bear-aligned and price is only -1.37% under 5d high — a rejection there flips this back to range-bound fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 91.95; stop below the recent swing/reclaim base at 90.35 (~1.74% risk, within the ~2% 24h range and RV floor); stretch TP at 93.90 (~2.12% / ~1.22x risk), just under the 5d high resistance, reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.97% and fresh momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: honest bounce continuation but 4h bear cap and low vol argue for meaningful expiry.
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