DOGEUSD short — 9 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.070135 and stopped out at 0.07105 after 20.6 hours, closing at -1.30%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-09 01:38 |
| Entry | 0.070135 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07105 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.069415 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.068935 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07105 |
| Realized P&L | -1.30% |
| Time open | 20.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (2/4; 5m/15m bear-aligned & oversold, 1h bull, 4h bear), 1h ADX 34.8 but slope -7.1 (fading), ER-10 0.76 but ER-30 0.045 (path nets nowhere over 30 bars), choppiness 42.7, Hurst 0.32 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a fading impulse inside broadly transitional/mean-reverting chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is down (-1.25%/4h, -0.65%/12h) and OI is collapsing (agg_oi -33%, oi_5m_z -1.46, accelerating_down) while top-traders sit heavily long (pos ratio 2.98) — the short-term flush + OI unwind favors the short side, but 5m/15m RSI are deeply oversold (29) hinting at a near-term bounce, so it's a thin lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — aggregated OI -33% with accelerating_down momentum plus a fresh 4h down-leg means longs are being liquidated/unwound into the move; that plus 4h bear stack points down. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold 5m/15m RSI (~29) + taker ratio back above 1.17 could spark a mean-revert bounce off the 5d low (only +2% below) invalidating the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 0.070135, stop above recent intraday structure at 0.07105 (~1.3% / within rv range), target the 5d/20d low zone at 0.06895 for ~1.7% — RR ~1.3, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: fading trend + oversold + chop favors expiry risk, modest short edge.
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