AAVEUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 93.0901 and hit its target at 95.42 after 5.8 hours, closing at +2.50%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 15:12 |
| Entry | 93.0901 |
| Stop-loss | 91.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 94.488 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 95.42 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.34 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 95.42 |
| Realized P&L | +2.50% |
| Time open | 5.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 with 5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked (4h mixed), 1h ADX 26.6 rising sharply (slope +6.7), choppiness 20.5 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.81 clean near-term but ER-30 0.32 noisy, Hurst 0.31 mean-revert, HMM calm — a strong fresh bull impulse inside a broader mean-reverting base. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — momentum, trend and OI all point up; the only caution is stretched RSI. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.24, oi_15m_z +3.60, agg OI +3.76%), taker ratio 1.36, top-trader position ratio 1.25 long, with net +4.36% 4h / +6.09% 12h confirming a fresh trend-aligned impulse; this is the trend side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 89/85/78 across TFs and rolling_z +3.79 scream near-term exhaustion — a sharp mean-revert pullback off the highs invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 93.09; stop below the fast-EMA/impulse-base at 91.35 (~1.87% risk, inside the ~2% avg daily range given RV pctile 100); stretch TP at 95.42 (~2.50% reward, R:R ~1.34, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) targeting continuation toward the round 95-96 zone. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but overbought stretch raises pullback odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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