ETHUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,010.7 and hit its target at 2,034.3 after 12 minutes, closing at +1.17%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 15:12 |
| Entry | 2,010.7 |
| Stop-loss | 1,979.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,034.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,050 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,034.3 |
| Realized P&L | +1.17% |
| Time open | 12 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 42.9 slope +9.2 (strong trend, strengthening hard), choppiness 23.1 and ER-10 0.86 (very clean directional tape), HMM calm — but Hurst 0.18 (strongly mean-reverting) with rolling z +7.1 and RV at 100th pctile: a powerful, extremely extended bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, momentum, OI all point up; the only caveat is extension, not a bearish counter-signal. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow — full_bullish MTF with ADX accelerating, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.6, agg_oi +8.2%), taker 1.38 buy-skew, top-trader pos ratio 1.34 long — momentum and fresh money aligned; same-regime recent longs (conf ~56-57) just won +1.42%/+1.47%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 86-91 across all TFs, sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d highs with rolling z +7.1 — a mean-revert flush back through the 4h EMA would invalidate; keep target modest and stop below prior consolidation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2010.72; stop_loss 1979.5 (below the recent 1h impulse base / structural invalidation, ~1.55% ≈ within 24h RV range 57%); take_profit_1 2050.0 stretch (~1.95%, R:R ≈ 1.26, inside 4% clamp) at the next round-level extension the momentum points to. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme extension raises fade/expire odds.
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