AAVEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 110.83 and hit its target at 113.182 after 16 minutes, closing at +2.12%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 10:41 |
| Entry | 110.83 |
| Stop-loss | 107.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 113.182 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 114.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 113.182 |
| Realized P&L | +2.12% |
| Time open | 16 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 with 5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked (4h mixed), 1h ADX 56.2 rising (slope +5.67), choppiness 24.3 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.81 very clean, Hurst 0.46 neutral, HMM calm — a powerful, accelerating bull impulse (+13.4% 24h) but deeply stretched. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — trend, OI acceleration (accelerating_up, oi_15m_z +3.12, agg_oi +24.5%) and top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.35, account 1.68) all point up; the counter-case is pure exhaustion. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + OI + positioning triple-confluence with price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high — this exact setup won 3 of the last runs (+2.40/+1.74/+2.67%) on AAVE; momentum is trend-aligned and freshly funded. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 86 (1h)/89 (4h) overbought with z-score +4.6 and RV at 100th pctile — a mean-revert flush below the intraday breakout shelf invalidates the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 110.83; stop 107.55 just below the recent breakout consolidation shelf (~-2.96%, ~0.5x the elevated RV, honest invalidation); stretch TP 114.75 (+3.54%, R:R ~1.2), a reachable extension given 13% daily momentum and inside the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: stretched-but-trending base rate — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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