AAVEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 99.0753 and hit its target at 100.7401 after 1.3 hours, closing at +1.68%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 01:26 |
| Entry | 99.0753 |
| Stop-loss | 96.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.7401 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 100.7401 |
| Realized P&L | +1.68% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 with 5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked (4h mixed), 1h ADX 47 rising (slope +0.32), choppiness 43 (transitional-trending), ER-10 0.53 moderately clean, Hurst 0.57 mildly trending, HMM calm — a genuine bull trend but stretched (rolling z +2.85, sitting right at 5d/20d/90d high). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — trend, OI (accelerating_up, oi_15m_z +2.44, agg OI +8.8%) and top-trader account ratio 1.66 all point up; taker 0.99 is neutral. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is OI + trend confluence — fresh bull impulse (+3.5% 24h, +1.26% net 4h) into new highs with accelerating OI and top-traders positioned long, exactly the setup that won +2.08/+1.93/+2.50% on this asset recently. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is pinned at the 90d high with 4h RSI 76.7 (overbought) and z +2.85 — a rejection here flips this into a blow-off top rather than a breakout. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 99.075; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 96.85 (~2.25% risk, near the ~2.2% 24h traversal and inside rv band); stretch TP at 101.85 (~2.8% / ~1.25x risk), a clean push above the 90d high, reachable within 24h given avg 24h move 2.2%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought/stretched into highs tempers upside but trend+OI favor continuation.
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