DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.082049 and hit its target at 0.083808 after 4.9 hours, closing at +2.14%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 01:26 |
| Entry | 0.082049 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07985 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.083808 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08498 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.083808 |
| Realized P&L | +2.14% |
| Time open | 4.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 51.6 but slope -3.95 (fading from peak), ER-10 0.16 / choppiness 40 (path getting noisy short-term), Hurst 0.51, HMM calm — a powerful but now-decelerating uptrend, deeply extended (z +3.78, RV 24h 98.5th pctile, 4h RSI 87.7). 2. LEAN CHECK: still a clearly long tape — net +9.2%/24h, +2.2%/4h, sitting -1.49% off the 5d/20d/90d high, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +1.40), top-trader pos ratio 3.34, taker 1.14; trend-aligned long is the side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: three confirming clusters — HTF trend (full_bullish, ADX>50), flow/OI (agg OI +5.3%/24h, oi_momentum accelerating_up, taker >1), positioning (top-trader pos 3.34 heavily long) — near the highs with momentum intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: ADX slope negative + falling short-term ER + extreme overbought RSI/z-score means an exhaustion reversal off the high would invalidate; a break back below ~0.0805 kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.082049; stop 0.07985 just below recent consolidation/invalidation (~2.68% risk, within the elevated realized range); TP1 stretch 0.08498 at a push through the 5d high (~3.57% ≈ 1.33x risk, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but exhaustion risk and negative ADX slope temper it.
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