AAVEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 111.03 and hit its target at 113.322 after 26 minutes, closing at +2.06%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 14:41 |
| Entry | 111.03 |
| Stop-loss | 107.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 113.322 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 114.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 113.322 |
| Realized P&L | +2.06% |
| Time open | 26 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, 1h ADX 61.2 rising (slope +3.1), choppiness 35.6 (trending), ER-10 0.52 moderately clean, Hurst 0.52 neutral, HMM calm — a powerful accelerating bull impulse (+15% 24h) but deeply stretched (1h RSI 75, 4h RSI 89, z-score +3.84, RV 99.5th pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — trend, OI acceleration (accelerating_up, oi_15m_z +1.60, agg_oi +22.3%) and top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.44) all point up; the counter-case is pure exhaustion, not a reclaim. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow confluence — full bull MTF stack with ADX 61 rising, OI building into the move (accelerating_up), and top traders net long 1.44; this exact setup has printed a string of TP1 wins on this asset recently. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 89 on 4h and z +3.84 signal blow-off exhaustion; a sharp reversal from the 5d/20d/90d high (-1.14% away) with net_move_pct_4h already -1.14% negative would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: price 111.03 at the highs; stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 107.35 (~3.3% down, ~1x the elevated near-term ATR), stretch target 114.85 (~3.4%, R:R ~1.03) at a modest extension to fresh highs, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but blow-off exhaustion caps follow-through, so honest split.
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