AAVEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 105.2354 and hit its target at 108.05 after 33 minutes, closing at +2.67%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 07:56 |
| Entry | 105.2354 |
| Stop-loss | 102.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 106.9242 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 108.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 108.05 |
| Realized P&L | +2.67% |
| Time open | 33 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 with 5m/15m/1h bull EMA-stacked (4h mixed), 1h ADX 50.4 rising (slope +0.68), choppiness 26.8 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.78 very clean, Hurst 0.55 mildly trending, HMM calm — a genuine strong bull impulse (+8.2% 24h) but very stretched. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — trend, OI, top-trader positioning all point up; the counter-case is exhaustion (RSI 80-85 across TFs, rolling z +3.82, sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d high, RV 24h at 100th pctile). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + OI cluster dominant — oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +3.43, agg OI +16.5%, top_trader account ratio 1.71 / pos ratio 1.28 rising, funding_z +1.36 building — fresh money chasing a clean impulse; this asset's track record shows repeated long wins in exactly this stretched-but-trending setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the most-recent taker bucket is 0.66 (sellers stepping in) and RSI overbought everywhere — a mean-reversion flush from this extreme would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 102.60 (~2.5% down, within the very-elevated RV range), target the stretch at 108.05 (~2.67% up, ~1.07x stop distance, inside clamps) — a fresh continuation extension. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched/overbought caps upside odds.
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