SLVONUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 62.9133 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 62.55 with a price move of -0.58%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 07:56 |
| Entry | 62.9133 |
| Stop-loss | 61.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 63.8653 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 64.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.49 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 62.55 |
| Realized P&L | -0.58% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish (all TFs bull_aligned), 1h ADX 36.3 rising (+0.86 slope), ADX-20 32.8, Hurst 0.585 persistent/trending, ER_30 0.34 mid, choppiness 45.5 mid, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine higher-TF uptrend, still strengthening. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans long — full bull stack, OI +13.9% building, top-trader pos ratio 2.14 heavily long, silver spot XAG +4.08% confirming. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — the 4/4 MTF alignment with rising ADX plus expanding OI (oi_5m_z +1.11) and strong top-trader long skew is the dominant cluster; silver ETF proxy +2.75% and macro gold +1.27% give a real macro tailwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits exactly at 5d/20d/90d high with 1h/4h RSI ~71 overbought and rolling z +3.07 (3σ stretched) — a mean-reversion pullback from extension would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below near-term structure at 61.85 (~1.7% risk, roughly 1x the 24h realized range), stretch TP at 64.50 (~2.5% up, RR ~1.5) toward continuation of the breakout, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme overbought caps upside odds.
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