AAVEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 116.79 and hit its target at 121.4616 after 51 minutes, closing at +4.00%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 21:05 |
| Entry | 116.79 |
| Stop-loss | 112.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 119.593 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 121.4616 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 121.4616 |
| Realized P&L | +4.00% |
| Time open | 51 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, 1h ADX 61.1 very high but slope slightly negative (-0.54, fading), choppiness 48.3 neutral, ER-10 0.45 / ER-30 0.50 moderately clean, Hurst 0.57 mild persistence, HMM volatile 0.96 — a powerful +19.9% 24h bull impulse, still trending but decelerating (net +3.57% last 4h, oi_momentum decelerating). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — entire HTF trend, top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.52, up 4h) and OI expansion (agg_oi +28%, oi_15m_z +1.95) all point up; the counter-case is pure exhaustion. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 bull EMA stack with ADX >60, top-traders net long 1.52 and adding (4h chg +0.04), agg OI +28% confirms real money behind the move, and this asset's same-regime signals just went 5-for-5 wins. 4. PRE-MORTEM: this is deeply stretched (4h RSI 90.3, z-score +3.79, RV 100th pctile) — a sharp momentum reversal / long unwind at the highs invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 116.79; stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 112.60 (~3.6% risk, within the ~6.8% 7d range and ~5.2% avg abs daily return); stretch TP at 121.85 (~4.3% → clamped ~1.2x the stop distance, R:R ~1.2), a structural extension above the fresh highs reachable within 24h given elevated vol. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but stretch + fade risk keep this measured.
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