ETHUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,453.2 and hit its target at 2,484.9 after 7 minutes, closing at +1.29%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 21:20 |
| Entry | 2,453.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,408.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,484.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,506 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,484.9 |
| Realized P&L | +1.29% |
| Time open | 7 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h a towering 55.9 but slope -1.0 (very strong trend just fading from peak), ER-10 0.79 clean/ER-30 0.31, choppiness 60 (creeping toward chop), Hurst 0.64 trending, HMM calm high-conf — a powerful +5.8% 24h bull impulse at extreme extension. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean holds — trend fully aligned, OI accelerating (agg +10.3%, oi_5m_z +1.90), top-trader pos ratio 1.73, taker 1h 1.20; the only counterweight is extension (4h RSI 95, rolling z +2.44, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — full bull EMA stack with ADX 56 plus building OI and top-trader positioning (1.73) on the long side, trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: at 5d/20d/90d highs with 4h RSI 95 and rolling z +2.44, a mean-reversion snap-back below the recent breakout shelf would invalidate; adx slope already negative. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the reclaim shelf at 2408.5 (~1.8% risk, roughly 0.6x rv-adjusted daily range); stretch TP at 2506 (~2.15% reward, R:R ~1.2, inside clamps) toward continuation of the impulse. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme extension caps upside odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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