AAVEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 124.0981 and hit its target at 126.6192 after 2.1 hours, closing at +2.03%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 01:05 |
| Entry | 124.0981 |
| Stop-loss | 120.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 126.6192 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 128.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 126.6192 |
| Realized P&L | +2.03% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish, 1h ADX 64.9 with positive slope (+2.62, strengthening), choppiness 33.4 (strongly-trending), ER-10 0.61 / ER-30 0.56 (clean path), Hurst 0.54 mild persistence, HMM volatile 0.998 — a violent +24.7% 24h bull impulse still accelerating. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — the entire HTF trend, OI acceleration and top-trader positioning all point up; the only counter is deep extension, not a reversal signal. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — accelerating_up OI (oi_15m_z +2.04, agg_oi +32.9%, oi_change_recent_half +16.3%) alongside top_trader_pos_ratio 1.58 and taker 1.08, exactly the profile that just printed 5 consecutive same-regime wins. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply stretched (1h RSI 77.5, 4h RSI 92.6, z-score +4.0, RV 100th pctile) — a momentum stall + failure to hold the 5d-high tick invalidates continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: price sits right at the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.23%); stop below the recent breakout base at 120.15 (~3.2% risk, within the elevated realized range), stretch TP at 128.30 (~3.4% / ~1.05x risk, inside 4% clamp) — a clean push above the extremum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extension raises SL/expire odds; p_tp1 51, p_sl 32, p_expire 17.
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