DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.091602 and hit its target at 0.09465 after 3.5 hours, closing at +3.33%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 23:50 |
| Entry | 0.091602 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08915 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093431 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09465 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.09465 |
| Realized P&L | +3.33% |
| Time open | 3.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 49 with +5.9 slope (strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-10 0.52 / choppiness 33 (moderately clean, trending), Hurst 0.40, HMM calm 98.5% — a powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +3.68, RV-24h 100th pctile, 4h RSI 93, all TFs overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +7.8%/4h, +13.8%/24h, sitting just -2.85% off 5d/20d/90d high, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.64, oi_15m_z +2.72), top-trader pos ratio 3.96 rising (+0.48/4h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all confirm long — top traders heavily long and adding, OI accelerating into the move, ADX strengthening; strongly trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (z +3.68, 4h RSI 93, RV 100th pctile) + 1h taker ratio slipping under 1.0 (0.93) means a mean-reversion flush could hit stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.091602; stop 0.089150 (below 15m structure, ~2.7% — ~1x the 24h traversal given elevated vol); TP1 stretch 0.094650 (~3.3% up, prior R:R ~1.24, structural reclaim of the 5d high). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extension raises flush risk.
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